تطبيق نماذج التغطية للتحديد الأمثل لعدد وموقع مراكز الرعاية الطبية في ظل انتشار وباء كورونا كوفيد-19
الكلمات المفتاحية:
Adjustment economic processes، Stability of Equilibrium، Lyapunov function، Hopf bifurcation، Chaos، موقع أمثل، عدد أمثل، نماذج تغطية، وباء كورونا كوفيد-19، مركز رعاية طبيةالملخص
نحاول من خلال هذه الدراسة استعمال نماذج التغطية للتحديد الامثل لعدد وموقع مراكز الرعاية الطبية التي يمكن استخدامها كمراكز علاج وعزل للمصابين بفيروس (كورونا كوفيد-19) المستجد، بحيث تغطي هذه المراكز اغلبية الساكنة في اقل وقت وتحقيق أفضل استخدام ممكن للموارد المحدودة المتاحة على راسها الاطباء المختصين واسرة الانعاش الضرورية. وقد قمنا بتطبيق نماذج التغطية باعتبارها الانسب لمثل هذه الحالات على ولاية المسيلة من خلال دوائرها الادارية وحساب المسافات الطرقية بينها ثم حددنا نصف القطر بمسافة تغطية قدرها 74 كلم، اضافة لعدد سكانها، حيث وجدنا من خلال تطبيقنا لهذه النماذج، وجوب تحديد ثلاثة مراكز للرعاية الطبية لتغطية السكان بنسبة 100%، والتي يمكن جعلها في مركزين فقط يقعان في دائرتي المسيلة وبوسعادة بنسبة تغطية وقدرها 90.5%. وعلى ضوء هذه النتائج يمكن تقديم توصية هامة لمصالح الولاية لتبني هذه الحلول في هذه الجائحة وفقا لإمكانياتها المتاحة، خاصة في ظل شح الموارد. This study aims to use coverage models to determine the optimal number and location of medical care centers that can be used as treatment and isolation centers for people with (corona-covid19) virus, these centers cover the majority of the population in the shortest time and achieve the best possible use of the limited resources of specialized doctors and the Recovery beds. We have applied the coverage models as the most appropriate for such cases to the state of Msila through its administrative "dayras" and calculating the road distances between them. Then we determined the radius with a coverage distance of 74 km, in addition to its population, we found through our application of these models, the necessity of determining Three medical care centers to cover the population 100%,, which can He placed it in only two places in the "dayras" of Msila and BouSada, with a coverage rate of 90.5%. In light of these results, an important recommendation can be made to the "wilaya’s" administration to adopt these solutions in this pandemic according to its available capabilities, especially in light of the scarcity of resources.المراجع
http://dx.doi.org/10.3346/jkms.2020.35.e5
Website: Worldometer - real time world statistics, https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/, (20-04-2020).
The official website for the state of Masila, http://www.wilaya-msila.dz/, (01-04-2020).
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